Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 17, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Dortmund

Ekitike (18'), Hojlund (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Can (77'), Guirassy (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 4-1 Freiburg
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 4-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.47%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
44.53% ( 0.21)	21.96% ( 0.04)	33.51% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 68.46% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.57% (

-0.3)

31.44% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.1% (

-0.35)

52.9% (

0.36)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.09% (

-0.04)

14.91% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.71% (

-0.08)

43.29% (

0.08)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45% (

-0.26)

19.55% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.55% (

-0.44)

51.46% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 44.53%

Borussia Dortmund 33.51%

Draw 21.96%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 44.53%	1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.96%	1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.32% Total : 33.51%