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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
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Frankfurt
2 - 0
Dortmund

Ekitike (18'), Hojlund (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Can (77'), Guirassy (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 4-1 Freiburg
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 4-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2 Borussia Dortmund

 If Can is moved into a midfield position, Dortmund may have a better chance to defend against counter-attacks, but it is difficult to look past their recent defensive vulnerability. Additionally, considering the form of Eintracht Frankfurt in front of goal, as well as their strong record at home, the hosts should be seen as clear favourites to take all three points on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.47%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
44.53% (0.21299999999999 0.21) 21.96% (0.041 0.04) 33.51% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 68.46% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.57% (-0.297 -0.3)31.44% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.1% (-0.353 -0.35)52.9% (0.355 0.36)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)14.91% (0.042 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.71% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)43.29% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)19.55% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (-0.435 -0.44)51.46% (0.437 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 44.53%
    Borussia Dortmund 33.51%
    Draw 21.96%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.55% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 9.05% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 7.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.76% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt
67.3%
Draw
17.3%
Borussia Dortmund
15.3%
150
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> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
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Bellingham (19'), Malen (24', 66'), Hummels (41')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
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Kamada (26')
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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