Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 14, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
4 - 2
Dortmund

Machino (27'), Harres (32'), Bernhardsson (45+4'), Arp (90+8')
Porath (81'), Arp (90+9')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Reyna (71'), Bynoe-Gittens (77')
Duranville (42'), Anton (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.79%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.09%) and 0-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
24.88% ( 0.12)	21.33%	53.79% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 64.26% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.74% (

0.12)

34.26% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.84% (

0.14)

56.16% (

-0.14)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

0.16)

26.2% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71% (

0.21)

61.3% (

-0.2)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.08% (

0.01)

12.93% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.63% (

0.01)

39.37% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 24.88%

Borussia Dortmund 53.79%

Draw 21.33%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.88%	1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.33%	1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.31% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 53.79%