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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Dortmund logo

Holstein Kiel
4 - 2
Dortmund

Machino (27'), Harres (32'), Bernhardsson (45+4'), Arp (90+8')
Porath (81'), Arp (90+9')
Holtby (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Reyna (71'), Bynoe-Gittens (77')
Duranville (42'), Anton (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 2-3 Borussia Dortmund

If Dortmund come into the clash with several first-team starters missing due to illness, Holstein Kiel could have an opportunity to boost their survival chances. However, Sahin's side still managed to score twice against the champions, and their attacking firepower could help them escape Holstein-Stadion with three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.79%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.09%) and 0-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawBorussia Dortmund
24.88% (0.122 0.12) 21.33%53.79% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 64.26% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.74% (0.124 0.12)34.26% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.84% (0.139 0.14)56.16% (-0.137 -0.14)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.15599999999999 0.16)26.2% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (0.207 0.21)61.3% (-0.204 -0.2)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)39.37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 24.88%
    Borussia Dortmund 53.79%
    Draw 21.33%
Holstein KielDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.04% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.36% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.88%
1-1 @ 9.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.33%
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.34% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 53.79%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Dortmund

Holstein Kiel
16.4%
Draw
12.1%
Borussia Dortmund
71.6%
116
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 7.30pm
Semi-Finals
Dortmund
5-0
Holstein Kiel
Reyna (16', 23'), Reus (26'), Hazard (32'), Bellingham (41')

Hauptmann (37'), Lorenz (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern22174165194655
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen22138149272247
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt22126449292042
4RB Leipzig2210753629737
5Freiburg2211382936-736
6Mainz 05Mainz22105735241135
7Stuttgart2210574033735
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2210483532334
9Wolfsburg229674536933
10Werder Bremen228683542-730
11Borussia DortmundDortmund228593738-129
12Augsburg227782435-1128
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2266102129-824
14St Pauli2263131825-721
15Hoffenheim2256112945-1621
16Heidenheim2242162545-2014
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2235142146-2514
18Holstein Kiel2234153457-2313


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