Bundesliga
Gameweek
17
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-
Shuto Machino
27'
-
Phil Harres
32'
-
Alexander Bernhardsson
45'+4'
-
Finn-Dominik Porath
81'
-
Lewis Holtby
86'
-
Jann-Fiete Arp
90'+8'
-
Jann-Fiete Arp
90'+9'
-
Julien Duranville
42'
-
Giovanni Reyna
71'
-
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
77'
-
Waldemar Anton
86'
Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.79%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.09%) and 0-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result
Holstein Kiel
24.88%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
21.33%
Borussia Dortmund
53.79%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
64.26%
▲
(+0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.74%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
34.26%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
43.84%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
56.16%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 4.5
25.31%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 4.5
74.69%
▼
(-0.12)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5
73.8%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
26.2%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
38.71%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
61.3%
▼
(-0.21)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
87.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
12.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
60.63%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
39.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Holstein Kiel
24.88%
Draw
21.33%
Borussia Dortmund
53.79%
Holstein Kiel
2-1
@
6.22%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 24.88%
1-0 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 24.88%
Draw
1-1
@
9.28%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.33%
2-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.33%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
@
9.49%
▼
(-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 53.79%
0-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 53.79%
Head to Head
DFB-Pokal
-
Giovanni Reyna
16'
-
Giovanni Reyna
23'
-
Marco Reus
26'
-
Thorgan Hazard
32'
-
Jude Bellingham
41'
-
Niklas Hauptmann
37'
-
Simon Lorenz
86'