Bundesliga
Gameweek
16
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-
Nicolai Remberg
23'
-
Christian Gunter
38'
-
Lukas Kubler
58'
-
Vincenzo Grifo
74'
-
Michael Gregoritsch
90'+5'
-
Phil Harres
37'
-
Armin Gigovic
45'+3'
-
Phil Harres
85'
-
Phil Harres
90'
-
Dominik Javorcek
90'+5'
Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result
Freiburg
47.79%
▼
(-1.42)
Draw
23.17%
▲
(+0.38)
Holstein Kiel
29.04%
▲
(+1.04)
Both Teams to Score:
61.41%
▼
(-0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.35%
▼
(-1.10)
Under 2.5
39.65%
▲
(+1.10)
Over 3.5
38%
▼
(-1.16)
Under 3.5
62%
▲
(+1.16)
Over 4.5
20.55%
▼
(-0.91)
Under 4.5
79.44%
▲
(+0.91)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5
83.13%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 0.5
16.87%
▲
(+0.93)
Over 1.5
53.1%
▼
(-1.68)
Under 1.5
46.9%
▲
(+1.68)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5
73.87%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
26.13%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
38.8%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
61.2%
▼
(-0.18)
Score analysis
Freiburg
47.79%
Draw
23.16%
Holstein Kiel
29.04%
Freiburg
2-1
@
9.37%
▼
(-0.07)
1-0 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 47.79%
1-0 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 47.79%
Draw
1-1
@
10.52%
▲
(+0.25)
2-2 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.16%
2-2 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.16%
Holstein Kiel
1-2
@
7.07%
▲
(+0.20)
0-1 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.11)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.04%
0-1 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.11)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.04%
Head to Head
DFB-Pokal
-
Janni Serra
26'
-
Jannik Dehm
51'
-
David Kinsombi
79'
-
Nils Petersen
1'
-
Nils Petersen
90'