Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)

Frankfurt
4 - 1
Freiburg

Koch (43'), Marmoush (65'), Ekitike (71'), Collins (81')
Skhiri (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Doan (37')
Ginter (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Freiburg
58.39% ( 0.09)	21.31% ( -0.03)	20.3% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 57.86% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.18% (

0.03)

39.81% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.83% (

0.03)

62.16% (

-0.04)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61% (

0.03)

13.38% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.7% (

0.07)

40.29% (

-0.08)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8% (

-0.05)

33.19% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.19% (

-0.05)

69.8% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 58.39%

Freiburg 20.3%

Draw 21.31%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 58.39%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.31%	1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 20.3%