Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
| 32.64% ( | 29.06% ( | 38.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.75% ( | 62.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.08% ( | 81.91% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( | 35.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.05% ( | 71.95% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% ( | 31.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.17% ( | 67.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 3-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 32.63% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 11.06% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.05% | 0-1 @ 12.8% ( 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0-2 @ 7.41% 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 38.29% |