Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.