/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Ffarlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
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Rony Lopes
26'
-
Elves Balde
41'
-
Fuki Yamada
19'
-
Jose Gomes
48'
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Lucas Franca
45'+4'
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Fuki Yamada
51'
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Jose Gomes
57'
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Andre Sousa
90'+1'
SC Farense vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result
SC Farense
37.68%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
27.64%
▲
(+0.23)
Nacional
34.68%
▼
(-0.45)
Both Teams to Score:
48.83%
▼
(-0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.07%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 2.5
56.93%
▲
(+0.89)
Over 3.5
22.16%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 3.5
77.84%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 4.5
9.6%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 4.5
90.4%
▲
(+0.44)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5
70.82%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 0.5
29.18%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 1.5
34.88%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
65.12%
▲
(+0.37)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
68.96%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 0.5
31.04%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 1.5
32.64%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 1.5
67.36%
▲
(+0.86)
Score analysis
SC Farense
37.67%
Draw
27.64%
Nacional
34.68%
SC Farense
1-0
@
11.15%
▲
(+0.29)
2-1 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.67%
2-1 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.67%
Draw
1-1
@
13.05%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.64%
0-0 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.64%
Nacional
0-1
@
10.59%
▲
(+0.15)
1-2 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.68%
1-2 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.68%