Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
We said: SC Farense 2-1 Nacional
Farense and Nacional find themselves scrambling for life at the bottom end of the table and we expect both sides to go all out in search of a morale-boosting result this weekend. Margarido's side have been abysmal on their travels this season and we fancy Farense to come away with the desired result, albeit by the odd goal.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 37.68% . A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.87%) . The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood .
Result SC Farense Draw Nacional 37.68% ( 0.22) 27.64% ( 0.22) 34.68% ( -0.44)
Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.72)
43.07% ( -0.88) 56.93% ( 0.88)
22.16% ( -0.71) 77.84% ( 0.71)
70.82% ( -0.3) 29.18% ( 0.3)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.88% ( -0.37) 65.12% ( 0.37)
68.96% ( -0.72) 31.04% ( 0.73)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.64% ( -0.86) 67.36% ( 0.86)
SC Farense 37.67%
Nacional 34.68%
Draw 27.64%
SC Farense Draw Nacional 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.67% 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.64% 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.68%
How you voted: Farense vs Nacional
25
rhs 2.0
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