Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 9, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
0 - 2
Nacional

Lopes (26')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomes (48', 57')
Yamada (19'), Franca (45+4'), Sousa (90+1')
Yamada (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Farense
Sunday, February 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Nacional
37.68% ( 0.22)	27.64% ( 0.22)	34.68% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 48.83% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.07% (

-0.88)

56.93% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.16% (

-0.71)

77.84% (

0.71)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.82% (

-0.3)

29.18% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.88% (

-0.37)

65.12% (

0.37)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.96% (

-0.72)

31.04% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.64% (

-0.86)

67.36% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 37.67%

Nacional 34.68%

Draw 27.64%

SC Farense	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.67%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.68%