Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Porto
Feb 7, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Do Dragao
Sporting Lisbon
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 19' yellowcard
  • Martin Anselmi 62' yellowcard
  • Danny Loader 90'+4' goal
  • Fabio Vieira 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Fresneda 42'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 71'
  • yellowcard Rui Silva 72'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 90'+6'
  • redcard Matheus Reis 90'+7'
  • redcard Ousmane Diomande 90'+8'

Porto vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2025 8.45pm
Rio Ave 2 - 2 Porto
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2025 6.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Farense
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Porto 43.95% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 23.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Sporting Lisbon 32.42% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.67% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.88% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 40.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 37.51% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 62.48% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 20.17% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 79.82% ▼ (-0.07)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 81.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.15%
Under 1.5 49.84% ▼ (-0.01)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 75.74% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 24.25% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 41.38% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 58.61% ▼ (-0.12)

Score analysis

Porto 43.95%
Draw 23.63%
Sporting Lisbon 32.42%
Porto
2-1 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 43.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.63%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.42%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Jan 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pina Manique
Porto
  • Viktor Gyokeres 57' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 63' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes 73' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 66'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 72'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 31, 2024 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Porto
  • Geny Catamo 28' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 72' goal
  • Geny Catamo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 30'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 54'
  • yellowcard Otavio 69'
  • yellowcard Danny Loader 70'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 90'+2'
Portuguese Super Cup
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 3, 2024 8.15pm
3
4
HT : 3 1
ET Estadio Municipal de Aveiro
Porto
  • Goncalo Inacio 6' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 9' goal
  • Geovany Tcherno Quenda 24' goal
  • Eduardo Quaresma 72' yellowcard
  • Ruben Amorim 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Diomande 97' yellowcard
  • goal Galeno 28'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 45'+2'
  • goal Nico Gonzalez 64'
  • goal Galeno 66'
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 67'
  • goal Ivan Jaime 101'
Taca de Portugal
Porto
May 26, 2024 5.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
ET Estadio Do Dragao
Sporting Lisbon
  • Evanilson 25' goal
  • Joao Mario 37' yellowcard
  • Alan Varela 66' yellowcard
  • Ze Pedro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Francisco Conceicao 97' yellowcard
  • Sergio Conceicao 98' redcard
  • Mehdi Taremi 100' goal
  • Francisco Conceicao 103' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 104' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 106' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremiah St Juste 20'
  • redcard Jeremiah St Juste 29'
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 30'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 39'
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 78'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 81'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 109'
  • yellowcard Otavio 110'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Porto
Apr 28, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
Sporting Lisbon
  • Evanilson 7' goal
  • Pepe 40' goal
  • Wendell 76' yellowcard
  • Galeno 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremiah St Juste 45'+2'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 87'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 88'
  • redcard Marcus Edwards 90'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Sporting Lisbon
Dec 18, 2023 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Porto
  • Viktor Gyokeres 11' goal
  • Nuno Santos 25' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Quaresma 57' yellowcard
  • Pedro Goncalves 60' goal
  • Goncalo Inacio 70' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Esgaio 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pepe 15'
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 17'
  • redcard Pepe 51'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Taremi 68'
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceicao 81'

Form Data

Rio Ave 2 - 2 Porto
M. Tel Aviv 0 - 1 Porto
Porto 1 - 1 Santa Clara
Porto 0 - 1 Olympiacos
Gil Vicente 3 - 1 Porto
Nacional 2 - 0 Porto
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Farense
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Bologna
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 0 Nacional
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Rio Ave 0 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Benfica