Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 7, 2025 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Loader (90+4')
Mora Carvalho (19'), Anselmi (62'), Vieira (90+10'), Omorodion (90+10')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fresneda (42')
Araujo (71'), Silva (72'), Hjulmand (90+6'), Reis (90+6')
Reis (90+7'), Diomande (90+8')

Reaction

Sporting Lisbon's Geovany Quenda and Viktor Gyokeres on September 22, 2024

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Manchester United reportedly had scouts at Sporting Lisbon's league contest with Porto last week to watch potential new signing Geovany Quenda in action.

Feb 12, 18:20

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Porto
Monday, February 3 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Farense
Sunday, February 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
43.95% ( -0.07)	23.63% ( -0.01)	32.42% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 61.67% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.88% (

0.07)

40.12% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.51% (

0.08)

62.48% (

-0.08)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.42% (

-0)

18.57% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.15%

49.84% (

-0)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.74% (

0.08)

24.25% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.38% (

0.11)

58.61% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Porto 43.95%

Sporting Lisbon 32.42%

Draw 23.63%

Porto	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 43.95%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.63%	1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.42%