Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 1, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Casa Pia

Mendes (50'), Embalo (79')
Mendes (22'), Villanueva (35'), Baifas Felix (36'), Mendes (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kraev (27'), Svensson Rio (52'), Tchamba (60'), Pedro Goulart Silva (73'), Sequeira (79'), Fonte (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 1-1 Guimaraes
Monday, February 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, February 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw has a probability of 19.7% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 11.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.98%) and 3-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (4.6%).

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Casa Pia
69.06% ( 0.27)	19.72% ( -0.05)	11.22% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 41.74% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69% (

-0.34)

50.31% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

-0.3)

72.25% (

0.3)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.5% (

-0.02)

13.49% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.48% (

-0.05)

40.52% (

0.05)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.25% (

-0.6)

51.75% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.16% (

-0.4)

85.84% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 69.05%

Casa Pia 11.22%

Draw 19.72%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Casa Pia
2-0 @ 14% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 69.05%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.48% Total : 19.72%	0-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 11.22%