Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 1, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
2 - 1
Casa Pia

MT (48'), Serginho (57')
Adriano (59'), Lopes (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moreira (43')
Kraev (67'), Ferreira de Sousa (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 1-1 Santa Clara
Sunday, January 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Benfica
Saturday, January 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Casa Pia
54.49% ( -0.82)	26.08% ( 0.36)	19.43% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 42.29% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.18% (

-0.71)

59.82% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.9% (

-0.54)

80.1% (

0.55)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

-0.64)

22.12% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

-0.97)

55.49% (

0.97)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.3% (

0.11)

45.7% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.51% (

0.09)

81.49% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 54.49%

Casa Pia 19.43%

Draw 26.07%

Santa Clara	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 15.25% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.74% Total : 54.49%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 19.43%