Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 25, 2025 at 6pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
3 - 1
Benfica

Cassiano (32'), Moreira (60'), Livolant (90+4')
Moreira (79'), Ferreira de Sousa (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

di Maria (14' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 2-3 Casa Pia
Monday, January 20 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 4-5 Barcelona
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 68.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Benfica
11.69% ( -0.13)	19.37% ( -0.02)	68.94% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 44.22% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.24% (

-0.23)

47.76% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.05% (

-0.22)

69.95% (

0.21)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.68% (

-0.37)

49.31% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.82% (

-0.26)

84.18% (

0.26)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.24% (

-0.03)

12.76% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.97% (

-0.06)

39.02% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 11.69%

Benfica 68.93%

Draw 19.37%

Casa Pia	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 4.45% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 11.69%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.59% Total : 19.37%	0-2 @ 13.33% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 9.15% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.71% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 68.93%