Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Barcelona had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Barcelona win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.