Real Madrid
2 - 5
Barcelona

Mbappe (5'), Rodrygo (60')
Camavinga (35'), Rudiger (53'), Junior (55'), Tchouameni (62'), Lewandowski (77')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Yamal (22'), Lewandowski (36' pen.), Raphinha (39', 48'), Balde (45+10')
Martinez (45+8'), Junior (77'), Araujo (87'), Raphinha (89')
Szczesny (56')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.7%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Barcelona
55.7%	22.14%	22.16%

Both teams to score 57.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.81%

41.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.42%

63.58%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.32%

14.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.16%

42.84%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.76%

32.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.27%

68.73%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 55.7%

Barcelona 22.16%

Draw 22.13%

Real Madrid	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 6.31% 3-0 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 3.03% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.71% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 3% Total : 55.7%	1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 5.82% 0-1 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.51% Total : 22.16%