Copa del Rey | Round of 32

Jan 4, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Deportes

Barbastro
0 - 4
Barcelona

Alonso (43')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Garcia (21'), Lewandowski (31', 47'), Torre (56')
Lewandowski (51')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barbastro

Last Game: Barbastro 2-0 Espanyol
Tuesday, December 3 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Barcelona

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 1-2 Atletico
Saturday, December 21 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 86.95%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Barbastro had a probability of 3.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.13%) and 0-1 (11.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.46%), while for a Barbastro win it was 1-0 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barbastro	Draw	Barcelona
3.11% ( -0.48)	9.94% ( -0.63)	86.95% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 30.07% (

-2.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.77% (

0.12)

38.23% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.49% (

0.13)

60.51% (

-0.12)

Barbastro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

32.01% (

-2.37)

67.99% (

2.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.78% (

-0.95)

94.22% (

0.96)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.94% (

0.26)

6.06% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.94% (

0.71)

23.06% (

-0.71)

Score Analysis

Barbastro 3.11%

Barcelona 86.93%

Draw 9.94%

Barbastro	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.52% Total : 3.11%	1-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.16% Total : 9.94%	0-2 @ 16.19% ( 0.38) 0-3 @ 15.13% ( 0.58) 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 10.6% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.41) 0-5 @ 5.94% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.3) 1-4 @ 4.09% ( -0.14) 0-6 @ 2.78% ( 0.22) 1-5 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.17) 0-7 @ 1.11% ( 0.1) 1-6 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 86.93%