Copa del Rey
Jan 6, 2025 6.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
  • 10' yellowcard
  • Juan Miguel Heredero Garcia 10' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Valverde 5'
  • goal Eduardo Camavinga 14'
  • goal Arda Guler 28'
  • goal Luka Modric 55'
  • goal Arda Guler 88'

Deportiva Minera vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportiva Minera

All competitions

Real Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 81.04%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Deportiva Minera had a probability of 4.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.1%) and 0-3 (13.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.46%), while for a Deportiva Minera win it was 1-0 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Deportiva Minera 4.84% (-0.33)
Draw 14.13% (-0.08)
Real Madrid 81.04% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

29.93% (-1.77)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.6% (-1.14)
Under 2.5 48.41% (+1.14)
Over 3.5 29.46% (-1.05)
Under 3.5 70.54% (+1.05)
Over 4.5 14.3% (-0.73)
Under 4.5 85.7% (+0.73)

Deportiva Minera Goals

Over 0.5 33.13% (-1.89)
Under 0.5 66.87% (+1.89)
Over 1.5 6.22% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 93.78% (+0.79)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 90.34% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 9.66% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 67.76% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 32.25% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Deportiva Minera 4.84%
Draw 14.13%
Real Madrid 81.03%
Deportiva Minera
1-0 @ 2.6% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 1.22% (-0.13)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 4.84%
Draw
0-0 @ 6.46% (+0.30)
1-1 @ 6.08% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 1.43% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 14.13%
Real Madrid
0-2 @ 17.64% (+0.56)
0-1 @ 15.1% (+0.59)
0-3 @ 13.74% (+0.33)
0-4 @ 8.03% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.28)
1-3 @ 5.53% (-0.26)
0-5 @ 3.75% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 3.23% (-0.18)
1-5 @ 1.51% (-0.10)
0-6 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 81.03%