Supercopa de Espana
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fmallog.png)
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Jude Bellingham
63'
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Jude Bellingham
66'
-
Jude Bellingham
66'
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Eduardo Camavinga
74'
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Eduardo Camavinga
74'
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Martin Valjent
90'+3'
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Rodrygo
90'+5'
Real Madrid vs Mallorca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.38%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Real Madrid
71.22%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
18.17%
▲
(+0.08)
Mallorca
10.6%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
44.38%
▼
(-0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.52%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 2.5
45.49%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
32.18%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
67.82%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 4.5
16.21%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
83.79%
▲
(+0.16)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
88.54%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
11.46%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
63.71%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
36.29%
▲
(+0.20)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5
50.13%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
49.87%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
15.43%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
84.57%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
71.22%
Draw
18.18%
Mallorca
10.6%
Real Madrid
2-0
@
13.41%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 12.38% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 71.22%
1-0 @ 12.38% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 71.22%
Draw
1-1
@
8.62%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 18.18%
0-0 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 18.18%
Mallorca
0-1
@
3.98%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 10.6%
1-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 10.6%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
1
-
Jagoba Arrasate
45'+3'
-
Pablo Maffeo
45'+3'
-
Vedat Muriqi
53'
-
Rodrygo
13'
-
Ferland Mendy
90'+7'
La Liga
Gameweek
31
-
Antonio Raillo
16'
-
Vedat Muriqi
82'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
48'
-
Andriy Lunin
85'
La Liga
Gameweek
19
-
Rodrygo
35'
-
Andriy Lunin
45'+2'
-
Antonio Rudiger
78'
-
Siebe Van der Heyden
1'
-
Matija Nastasic
61'
-
Pablo Maffeo
70'
La Liga
Gameweek
20
-
Nacho
13'
La Liga
Gameweek
5
-
Federico Valverde
45'+3'
-
Vinicius Junior
72'
-
Rodrygo
89'
-
Antonio Rudiger
90'+3'
-
Vedat Muriqi
35'
La Liga
Gameweek
28
-
Angel Rodriguez
30'
-
Antonio Raillo
69'
-
Pablo Maffeo
76'
-
Federico Valverde
17'
-
Vinicius Junior
30'
-
Lucas Vazquez
52'
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Vinicius Junior
55'
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Carlo Ancelotti
55'
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Karim Benzema
77'
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Karim Benzema
82'
Form Data
Build-up
News
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