Supercopa de Espana | Semi-Finals

Jan 9, 2025 at 7pm UK

King Abdullah Sports City

Real Madrid
3 - 0
Mallorca

Bellingham (63'), Valjent (90+3' og.), Rodrygo (90+5')
Bellingham (66'), Bellingham (66'), Camavinga (74'), Camavinga (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reaction

Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham celebrates scoring against Getafe on December 1, 2024

Jude Bellingham emulates David Beckham feat in Real Madrid's Spanish Super Cup win over Mallorca

Jude Bellingham joins David Beckham in an exclusive club with his goal in Thursday's 3-0 win over Mallorca in the Spanish Super Cup semi-final.

Jan 10, 01:05

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Deportiva Minera 0-5 Real Madrid
Monday, January 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Pontevedra 3-0 Mallorca
Friday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.38%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
71.22% ( -0.11)	18.17% ( 0.07)	10.6% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 44.38% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52% (

-0.22)

45.49% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.18% (

-0.21)

67.82% (

0.21)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.54% (

-0.09)

11.46% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.71% (

-0.2)

36.29% (

0.2)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.13% (

-0.08)

49.87% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.43% (

-0.05)

84.57% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 71.22%

Mallorca 10.6%

Draw 18.18%

Real Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
2-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 71.22%	1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 18.18%	0-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 10.6%