Copa del Rey | Round of 32

Jan 3, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Pasaron

Pontevedra
3 - 0
Mallorca

de Almeida Leite (21'), Pino (49'), Sanchez (72')
Iglesias Estepa (0'), Fontan (54'), Pino (54'), Daniel Sousa Iglesias (75'), Suarez Lopez (89'), Novo Marta (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (78'), Copete (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa del Rey clash between Pontevedra CF and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontevedra CF

Last Game: Pontevedra 1-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 0-1 Mallorca
Saturday, December 21 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontevedra CF win with a probability of 44.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontevedra CF win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontevedra CF would win this match.

Result
Pontevedra CF	Draw	Mallorca
44.87% ( -0.2)	28.14% ( 0.09)	26.99% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 44.56% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.07% (

-0.23)

60.93% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.06% (

-0.17)

80.94% (

0.18)

Pontevedra CF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.89% (

-0.21)

27.1% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.51% (

-0.27)

62.49% (

0.28)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.12% (

-0.03)

38.87% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.39% (

-0.03)

75.6% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Pontevedra CF 44.86%

Mallorca 26.99%

Draw 28.12%

Pontevedra CF	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 44.86%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.12%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.99%