Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.12%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 10.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.