Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 17, 2025 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
4 - 0
Famalicao

Barreiro (11', 36', 67'), Kokcu (80')
Barreiro (23'), Luis (38'), Silva (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 1-3 Benfica
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Famalicao
Sunday, January 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.12%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Famalicao
73.12% ( 0.68)	16.65%	10.23% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 48.27% (

-2.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.43% (

-2.09)

39.57% (

2.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.08% (

-2.21)

61.92% (

2.21)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.6% (

-0.37)

9.4% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.37% (

-0.87)

31.63% (

0.87)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.28% (

-2.68)

46.71% (

2.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.73% (

-2.12)

82.27% (

2.12)

Score Analysis

Benfica 73.11%

Famalicao 10.23%

Draw 16.65%

Benfica	Draw	Famalicao
2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.78) 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.82) 3-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.3) 5-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.21) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 73.11%	1-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.65%	0-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.7% Total : 10.23%