Copa del Rey | Round of 16

Jan 15, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
5 - 1
Betis

Gavi (3'), Kounde (27'), Raphinha (58'), Torres (67'), Yamal (75')
Raphinha (50'), Gavi (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Roque (84' pen.)
Bartra (42'), Flores Lozano (86')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-5 Barcelona
Sunday, January 12 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Betis

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Betis
Saturday, January 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 22.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Real Betis
54.76% ( 2.13)	22.41% ( 0.04)	22.83% ( -2.17)

Both teams to score 57.8% (

-2.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.37% (

-2.48)

41.64% (

2.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.97% (

-2.55)

64.04% (

2.55)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.86% (

-0.16)

15.14% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.28% (

-0.3)

43.72% (

0.3)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.11% (

-3.14)

31.89% (

3.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.66% (

-3.75)

68.34% (

3.75)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 54.76%

Real Betis 22.83%

Draw 22.4%

Barcelona	Draw	Real Betis
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.94) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.84) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.86% Total : 54.76%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.52) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.4%	1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.37) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.83%