Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 47.82% ( | 25.33% | 26.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.33% ( | 50.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( | 72.58% ( |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( | 21.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.91% ( | 54.09% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( | 33.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% ( | 70.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 3-1 @ 4.83% 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.47% Total : 47.82% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.85% |