Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 22, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Kraev (50')
Lelo (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kazu (7'), Parente (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 3-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-2 Famalicao
Monday, February 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.17%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (12.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Gil Vicente
34.61% ( -0.03)	29.23% ( -0.01)	36.17% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 44.22% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.39% (

0.01)

62.61% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.82% (

0.01)

82.18% (

-0.01)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.98% (

-0.01)

34.02% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.3% (

-0.01)

70.7% (

0.01)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

0.02)

32.98% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.43% (

0.03)

69.57% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 34.6%

Gil Vicente 36.16%

Draw 29.22%

Casa Pia	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.6%	1-1 @ 13.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.22%	0-1 @ 12.44% 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.16%