Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
| 36.68% ( | 27.1% ( | 36.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.22% ( | 54.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% ( | 76.09% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( | 28.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( | 64.57% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( | 29.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% ( | 64.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.21% |