Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.