Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 29.15% ( | 27.23% ( | 43.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% ( | 56.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.27% ( | 77.73% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.13% ( | 34.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.39% ( | 71.61% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% ( | 25.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.19% ( | 60.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 2-0 @ 5% ( 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 29.15% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 2-2 @ 4.58% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0-2 @ 8.25% ( 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.61% |