Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 25, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
0 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Pinheiro Ferreira (64')

Gabriel Coelho Oliveira (62'), Martins Travassos (71'), Gudzulic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Famalicao
Friday, January 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Braga
Sunday, January 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 18.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Estrela Amadora
58.14% ( 0.12)	23.8% ( -0.04)	18.06% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 46.16% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.51% (

0.03)

53.48% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.99% (

0.03)

75% (

-0.03)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.81% (

0.06)

18.18% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.82% (

0.1)

49.18% (

-0.1)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.42% (

-0.08)

43.58% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.22% (

-0.07)

79.78% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 58.12%

Estrela Amadora 18.06%

Draw 23.8%

Famalicao	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 13.5% 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 58.12%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.8%	0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 18.06%