Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.