Casa Pia vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 47.31%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.