Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 9, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI

Boavista
1 - 2
Guimaraes

van Ginkel (45+2' pen.)
Agra (46'), Kakay (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vukotic (50' og.), Silva (76' pen.)
Samu (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, March 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Betis 2-2 Guimaraes
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
20.49% ( 0.08)	24.58% ( 0.05)	54.93% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 47.72% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.58% (

-0.1)

53.42% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.05% (

-0.09)

74.95% (

0.09)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.19% (

0.03)

40.81% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.61% (

0.02)

77.39% (

-0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.63% (

-0.09)

19.37% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.83% (

-0.15)

51.17% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Boavista 20.49%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 54.92%

Draw 24.58%

Boavista	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.23% Total : 20.49%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.92%