Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 9, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
2 - 1
Boavista

Begraoui (27', 46')
Boma (20'), Xeka (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bozenik (61')
Camara (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Estoril
Saturday, February 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 0-2 Famalicao
Friday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Boavista
53.47% ( 0.11)	25.88% ( -0)	20.66% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 44.43% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.09% (

-0.09)

57.91% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.38% (

-0.07)

78.62% (

0.08)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24% (

0.01)

21.76% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06% (

0.01)

54.95% (

-0)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.78% (

-0.16)

43.22% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.53% (

-0.14)

79.48% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 53.46%

Boavista 20.66%

Draw 25.88%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 14.34% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.93% Total : 53.46%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 20.66%