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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Boavista

Estoril
2 - 1
Boavista

Begraoui (27', 46')
Boma (20'), Xeka (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bozenik (61')
Camara (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Estoril
Saturday, February 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-2 Famalicao
Friday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-0 Boavista

Estoril Praia have turned a corner since the start of the year and will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Boavista side who have failed to taste victory since the first week of November. We predict a one-sided affair at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota this weekend with the Canarinhos claiming all three points to heap more misery on the struggling visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBoavista
53.47% (0.105 0.11) 25.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 20.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 44.43% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.09% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)57.91% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.38% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)78.62% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)54.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.78% (-0.164 -0.16)43.22% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.53% (-0.14 -0.14)79.48% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 53.46%
    Boavista 20.66%
    Draw 25.88%
Estoril PraiaDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 14.34% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 53.46%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.4% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.66%

How you voted: Estoril vs Boavista

Estoril Praia
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Boavista
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 4
Boavista
0-0
Estoril
Abascal (51'), Bacci (52'), Reisinho (90+3'), Reisinho (90+7')
Carvalho (53'), Alvaro (77'), Xeka (82'), Robles (90'), Mangala (90+2')
Feb 10, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Boavista
2-1
Estoril
Sasso (15'), Bozenik (29')
Makouta (48'), Perez (61'), Lourenco (85'), Camara (87'), Goncalves (90')
Marques (54')
Ndiaye (17'), Seabra (18'), Zanocelo (70'), Carlos (86'), Fernandes (90+3')
Sep 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Estoril
1-2
Boavista
Marques (34')
Marques (70'), Alvaro (84'), Gomes (85')
Malheiro (4'), Morais (41')
Makouta (52'), Petit (66+66')
May 6, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 31
Boavista
1-0
Estoril
Mangas (50')
Feb 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Estoril
2-1
Boavista
Araujo (49'), Gouveia (76')
Njie (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon26195270234762
2Benfica25192459203959
3Porto26165551203153
4Braga26165542222053
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2613492725243
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26101153627941
7Casa Pia26106103235-336
8Estoril PraiaEstoril269983441-736
9FamalicaoFamalicao2681082929034
10MoreirenseMoreirense2687113137-631
11Nacional2685132636-1029
12Rio AveRio Ave2678112943-1429
13AroucaArouca2678112539-1429
14Gil Vicente2558122437-1323
15Estrela Amadora2658132138-1723
16AVS26411112037-1723
17SC FarenseFarense2638151737-2017
18BoavistaBoavista2636171643-2715


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