Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.