Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 43.66% ( | 28.48% ( | 27.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.33% ( | 61.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.51% ( | 81.49% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( | 28.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% ( | 63.75% ( |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.43% ( | 38.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.69% ( | 75.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 1-0 @ 13.75% 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 43.66% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 3.97% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.47% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.85% |