Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.2%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.