Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.