Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
0 - 0
Santa Clara

Pinho (41'), Sacalumbo (69'), Keliano (73')

Serginho (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 0-1 Estrela Amadora
Friday, February 14 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, February 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Santa Clara
19.98% ( 1.95)	26.6% ( 0.68)	53.42% ( -2.63)

Both teams to score 41.72% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.02% (

-0.11)

60.98% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.02% (

-0.08)

80.97% (

0.09)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.23% (

2.24)

45.77% (

-2.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.46% (

1.69)

81.54% (

-1.69)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.93% (

-1.16)

23.07% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.1% (

-1.74)

56.9% (

1.74)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 19.98%

Santa Clara 53.41%

Draw 26.59%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.64% Total : 19.98%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 15.48% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 11.35% ( -0.77) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.49% Total : 53.41%