Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 8, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves

AVS
1 - 2
Santa Clara

Rodrigues (90+4')
Grau (50'), Aderlan (68'), Aderlan (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ricardinho (51'), Aderlan (55' og.)
Pedro Augusto Mourao Costa (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 AVS
Saturday, February 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 2-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 44.93%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for AVS had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Santa Clara in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.

Result
AVS	Draw	Santa Clara
26.03% ( 0.32)	29.03% ( -0.04)	44.93% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 41.67% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.77% (

0.29)

64.23% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.65% (

0.21)

83.34% (

-0.21)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.41% (

0.46)

41.59% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.92% (

0.4)

78.08% (

-0.4)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.35% (

-0.01)

28.65% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.53% (

-0.01)

64.46% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

AVS 26.03%

Santa Clara 44.93%

Draw 29.02%

AVS	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.2% Total : 26.03%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.02%	0-1 @ 14.89% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 44.93%