Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.