Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 15, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
0 - 1
Benfica

Lopes (58'), Lopes (58'), Rocha (59'), Lima (62'), Calila (77'), Ferreira (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bruma (55')
Barreiro (49'), Felix (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: AVS 1-2 Santa Clara
Saturday, February 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Benfica
Wednesday, February 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Benfica
19.84% ( 0.37)	24.83% ( 0.06)	55.32% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 46.1% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.9% (

0.2)

55.09% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.65% (

0.16)

76.35% (

-0.17)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.53% (

0.53)

42.47% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.16% (

0.45)

78.84% (

-0.45)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13% (

-0.1)

19.87% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.02% (

-0.15)

51.98% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 19.84%

Benfica 55.31%

Draw 24.83%

Santa Clara	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.84%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.83%	0-1 @ 13.63% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 11.01% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.31%