Champions League

Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 12, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
0 - 1
Benfica

(Benfica win 4-3 on aggregate)

Elmusrati (41'), Vanderson (79'), Zakaria (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pavlidis (48')
Fernandez (16'), Luis (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Monaco and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSG 4-1 Monaco
Friday, February 7 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Moreirense
Saturday, February 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Benfica
28.58% ( -0.02)	23.63% ( -0.14)	47.78% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 59.42% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.87% (

0.62)

42.13% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.47% (

0.62)

64.53% (

-0.61)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31% (

0.3)

27.69% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.75% (

0.38)

63.25% (

-0.38)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.17% (

0.3)

17.83% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.43% (

0.51)

48.57% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Monaco 28.58%

Benfica 47.78%

Draw 23.63%

Monaco	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.58%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.63%	1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.74% Total : 47.78%