Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 7, 2025 at 8.05pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
4 - 1
Monaco

Vitinha (6'), Kvaratskhelia (54'), Dembele (57', 90')
Doue (28')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zakaria (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Le Mans 0-2 PSG
Tuesday, February 4 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 4-2 Auxerre
Saturday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 3-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Monaco
62.71% ( 0.17)	18.89% ( -0.09)	18.4% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 63.38% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.87% (

0.28)

31.13% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.46% (

0.34)

52.54% (

-0.34)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.41% (

0.12)

9.59% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.93% (

0.28)

32.07% (

-0.28)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

0.09)

29.9% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

0.11)

65.99% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 62.71%

Monaco 18.4%

Draw 18.89%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 62.71%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.89%	1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 18.4%