Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Monaco |
| 28.85% ( | 24.99% ( | 46.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.99% ( | 48.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.82% ( | 70.18% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( | 30.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% ( | 66.73% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( | 20.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( | 53.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 2-0 @ 4.48% ( 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 3-0 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0-2 @ 7.82% ( 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 2-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.17% |