Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.63%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Monaco
55.63% ( 1.05)	21.63% ( -0.38)	22.74% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 60.45% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.91% (

38.09% (

-1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.65% (

1.06)

60.35% (

-1.06)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.35% (

0.67)

13.65% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.16% (

1.32)

40.83% (

-1.31)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70% (

-0.01)

30% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.88% (

-0.01)

66.12% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 55.63%

Monaco 22.74%

Draw 21.63%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.63%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.63%	1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.01% Total : 22.74%