Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.63%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.