Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 18, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
2 - 4
PSG

Ben Seghir (53' pen.), Embolo (60')
Singo (13'), Camara (29')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Doue (24'), Dembele (64', 90+7'), Ramos (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 0-0 Monaco
Saturday, December 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Lyon
Sunday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
26.67% ( -2.39)	22.75% ( -0.35)	50.58% ( 2.74)

Both teams to score 60.95% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.59% (

-0.1)

39.41% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.25% (

-0.11)

61.75% (

0.11)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36% (

-1.7)

27.63% (

1.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82% (

-2.24)

63.18% (

2.24)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.23% (

0.95)

15.77% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.1% (

1.73)

44.9% (

-1.73)

Score Analysis

Monaco 26.67%

Paris Saint-Germain 50.58%

Draw 22.75%

Monaco	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.67%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.44) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.22) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.27) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.7% Total : 50.58%