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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
1 - 1
Nantes

Hakimi (2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abline (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-0 PSG
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Le Havre
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Nantes

Despite continental troubles, PSG remain near-perfect in Ligue 1 and should have no problem collecting another three points, doing so with a fourth home clean sheet in seven games at the Parc des Princes so far - the same tally they managed in the whole of last season. Nantes have been absolutely woeful of late, and on paper there are not many bigger mismatches on paper in Europe's top leagues this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.29%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 10.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
74.29% (0.117 0.12) 15.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 10.14% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 52.13% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.52% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)34.48% (0.33 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.59% (-0.375 -0.38)56.41% (0.37 0.37)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)7.89% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.06% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)27.94% (0.133 0.13)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.6% (-0.445 -0.45)43.4% (0.44 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37% (-0.377 -0.38)79.63% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 74.29%
    Nantes 10.14%
    Draw 15.57%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.04% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 9.35% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.93% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.01% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 74.29%
1-1 @ 7.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 15.57%
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.86% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.14%

How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

Paris Saint-Germain
90.5%
Draw
7.9%
Nantes
1.6%
63
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 22
Nantes
0-2
PSG

Gourvennec (23'), Sissoko (77')
Hernandez (60'), Mbappe (78' pen.)
Dec 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
PSG
2-1
Nantes
Barcola (41'), Kolo (83')
Hernandez (90+2')
Mohamed (55')
Douglas (29'), Duverne (82'), Pierre-Gabriel (90+1')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
PSG
4-2
Nantes
Messi (12'), Hadjam (17' og.), Pereira (60'), Mbappe (90+2')
Blas (31'), Ganago (38')
Sep 3, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Nantes
0-3
PSG

Pallois (33')
Da Silva (24')
Mbappe (18', 54'), Mendes (68')
Bernat (45+1'), Verratti (50'), Mbappe (58'), Ramos (68')
Jul 31, 2022 7pm
Final
PSG
4-0
Nantes
Messi (22'), Neymar (45+5', 82' pen.), Ramos (57')
Vitinha (16')

Coco (38'), Moutoussamy (75')
Castelletto (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG13103037112633
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille136522113823
5Nice1255223121120
6Lens135531512320
7Lyon125431916319
8Auxerre126152119219
9Reims135352018218
10Brest135171923-416
11Toulouse124351314-115
12Rennes134271819-114
13StrasbourgStrasbourg133462227-513
14Saint-EtienneSt Etienne134181130-1913
15Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
16NantesNantes132561520-511
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier132291334-218


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