Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1

Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Marseille

Nantes
1 - 2
Marseille

Kadewere (39')
Pallois (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maupay (24'), Greenwood (61')
Balerdi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawMarseille
27.71% (0.067999999999998 0.07)24.7% (0.247 0.25)47.58% (-0.312 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.759 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (-1.024 -1.02)47.48% (1.027 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.956 -0.96)69.7% (0.95899999999999 0.96)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)31.08% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.565 -0.56)67.39% (0.569 0.57)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)20.02% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.875 -0.88)52.21% (0.878 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 27.71%
    Marseille 47.58%
    Draw 24.7%
NantesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 27.71%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 10% (0.253 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.05% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 47.58%

How you voted: Nantes vs Marseille

Nantes
6.6%
Draw
17.9%
Marseille
75.5%
106
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Aubameyang (17', 79')
Aubameyang (74'), Mbemba (90+2')

Douglas (27'), Amian (45+1'), Gourvennec (80'), Sissoko (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Mohamed (39')
Aristouy (69')
Meupiyou (9')
Sarr (4')
Aubameyang (26'), Rongier (70')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Nantes
0-2
Marseille
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
> Preview