Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Dec 7, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
2 - 0
Toulouse

Singo (50'), Embolo (82')
Embolo (69'), Teze (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aboukhlal (37'), Casseres Jr (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Monaco
Sunday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Auxerre
Sunday, December 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Toulouse
56.46% ( 0.77)	22.28% ( -0.22)	21.25% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 55.98% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57% (

0.27)

42.99% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.6% (

0.26)

65.39% (

-0.26)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.95% (

0.35)

15.04% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.46% (

0.65)

43.54% (

-0.66)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.9% (

-0.38)

34.1% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.21% (

-0.41)

70.79% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Monaco 56.47%

Toulouse 21.25%

Draw 22.28%

Monaco	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.47%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.14% Total : 21.25%