Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Dec 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 1
Monaco

Henrique (53'), Greenwood (89' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Golovin (41')
Vanderson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, November 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 2-3 Benfica
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Marseille in this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Monaco
38.12% ( -3.17)	24.33% ( -0.18)	37.54% ( 3.35)

Both teams to score 60.22% (

1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.51% (

1.27)

42.48% (

-1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.11% (

1.26)

64.89% (

-1.26)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

-0.98)

22.25% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.31% (

-1.5)

55.69% (

1.51)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46% (

2.41)

22.54% (

-2.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.87% (

3.46)

56.12% (

-3.46)

Score Analysis

Marseille 38.12%

Monaco 37.54%

Draw 24.33%

Marseille	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.68) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.69) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.44) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.12%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.33%	1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.45) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.49) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.29) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.4) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.28) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.54%