Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 3
Auxerre

Greenwood (65' pen.)
Rabiot (60'), Greenwood (66'), Wahi (87')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Sinayoko (10'), Perrin (43'), Traore (45')
Leon (66'), Bair (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 4-0 Rennes
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Auxerre
53.67% ( 0.04)	22.24% ( -0.01)	24.09% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 59.98% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.53% (

0.01)

39.47% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.19% (

0.01)

61.81% (

-0.01)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.25% (

0.02)

14.75% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.03% (

0.03)

42.97% (

-0.03)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

-0.02)

29.64% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31% (

-0.02)

65.69% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Marseille 53.67%

Auxerre 24.09%

Draw 22.24%

Marseille	Draw	Auxerre
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.67%	1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 24.09%