Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Dec 1, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
2 - 0
Auxerre

King (32'), Sierro (39' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Angers
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Auxerre
49.16% ( -0.15)	24.69% ( 0.12)	26.15% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.88% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.48% (

-0.46)

48.52% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.35% (

-0.42)

70.65% (

0.42)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.23% (

-0.24)

19.77% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.18% (

-0.39)

51.82% (

0.39)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.16% (

-0.22)

32.84% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.59% (

-0.25)

69.41% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 49.16%

Auxerre 26.15%

Draw 24.68%

Toulouse	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.16%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.15%