Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Dec 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 1
Lyon

Dembele (8'), Vitinha (14' pen.), Ramos (88')
Kang-in (15'), Donnarumma (41')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mikautadze (40')
Mikautadze (41'), Veretout (45+2'), Tagliafico (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Salzburg 0-3 PSG
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Frankfurt
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lyon
60.36% ( -0.2)	20.06% ( 0.13)	19.59% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 61.18% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.07% (

-0.52)

34.93% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.09% (

-0.59)

56.91% (

0.59)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.71% (

-0.21)

11.29% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.08% (

-0.46)

35.93% (

0.46)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97% (

-0.25)

31.04% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.65% (

-0.29)

67.35% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 60.36%

Lyon 19.59%

Draw 20.06%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.78% Total : 60.36%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.06%	1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 19.59%