Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
65.58% ( -0.87) | 18.35% ( 0.31) | 16.07% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 60.22% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.09% ( -0.38) | 32.91% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.38% ( -0.44) | 54.62% ( 0.45) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.59% ( -0.3) | 9.41% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.34% ( -0.72) | 31.66% ( 0.72) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.48% ( 0.42) | 33.52% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.84% ( 0.46) | 70.16% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.77% Total : 65.58% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 33 |
2 | Marseille | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
7 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Auxerre | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Reims | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Toulouse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 14 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Angers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 13 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 12 |
17 | NantesNantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |