Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Nov 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Gerard Houllier

Lyon
1 - 0
St Etienne

Lacazette (29')
Caleta-Car (40'), Fofana (86'), Perri (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stassin (34'), Boakye (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-2 Lyon
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: St Etienne 2-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Saint-Etienne
65.58% ( -0.87)	18.35% ( 0.31)	16.07% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 60.22% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.09% (

-0.38)

32.91% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.38% (

-0.44)

54.62% (

0.45)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.59% (

-0.3)

9.41% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.34% (

-0.72)

31.66% (

0.72)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.48% (

0.42)

33.52% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.84% (

0.46)

70.16% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Lyon 65.58%

Saint-Etienne 16.07%

Draw 18.35%

Lyon	Draw	Saint-Etienne
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.77% Total : 65.58%	1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.35%	1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.07%