Ligue 1
Gameweek
11
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-
Alexandre Lacazette
29'
-
Duje Caleta-Car
40'
-
Malick Fofana
86'
-
Lucas Perri
90'+5'
-
Lucas Stassin
34'
-
Augustine Boakye
35'
Lyon vs Saint-Etienne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result
Lyon
65.58%
▼
(-0.87)
Draw
18.35%
▲
(+0.32)
Saint-Etienne
16.07%
▲
(+0.56)
Both Teams to Score:
60.22%
▲
(+0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.09%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 2.5
32.91%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 3.5
45.38%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 3.5
54.62%
▲
(+0.45)
Over 4.5
26.62%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 4.5
73.38%
▲
(+0.39)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
90.59%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 0.5
9.41%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 1.5
68.34%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 1.5
31.66%
▲
(+0.73)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5
66.48%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 0.5
33.52%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
29.84%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 1.5
70.16%
▼
(-0.45)
Score analysis
Lyon
65.58%
Draw
18.35%
Saint-Etienne
16.07%
Lyon
2-1
@
9.63%
▲
(+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.09)
5-0 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.10)
5-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 65.58%
2-0 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.09)
5-0 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.10)
5-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 65.58%
Draw
1-1
@
8.15%
▲
(+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.35%
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.35%
Saint-Etienne
1-2
@
4.45%
▲
(+0.13)
0-1 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.07%
0-1 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.07%
Head to Head
Ligue 1
Gameweek
22
-
Moussa Dembele
15'
-
Damien Da Silva
59'
-
Lucas Gourna-Douath
19'
-
Mahdi Camara
42'
-
Yvann Macon
50'
-
Sada Thioub
90'+1'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
9
-
Arnaud Nordin
32'
-
Mahdi Camara
45'+3'
-
Wahbi Khazri
90'+4'
-
Houssem Aouar
42'
-
Leo Dubois
45'+3'
-
Anthony Lopes
74'
-
Karl Toko Ekambi
90'+1'
-
Jason Denayer
90'+3'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
21
-
Timothee Kolodziejczak
54'
-
Romain Hamouma
74'
-
Denis Bouanga
84'
-
Tinotenda Kadewere
16'
-
Bruno Guimaraes
23'
-
Marcelo
36'
-
Marcelo
59'
-
Tinotenda Kadewere
68'
-
Denis Bouanga
82'
(OG)
Ligue 1
Gameweek
10
-
Maxence Caqueret
42'
-
Bruno Guimaraes
50'
-
Tinotenda Kadewere
65'
-
Maxwel Cornet
68'
-
Tinotenda Kadewere
74'
-
Lucas Paqueta
83'
-
Thiago Mendes
90'+6'
-
Anthony Lopes
40'
(OG)
-
Zaydou Youssouf
52'
-
Lucas Gourna-Douath
64'
-
Aimen Moueffek
90'+6'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
27
-
Moussa Dembele
27'
-
Leo Dubois
53'
-
Moussa Dembele
67'
-
Lucas Tousart
77'
-
Bruno Guimaraes
87'
-
Moussa Dembele
90'
-
Mathieu Debuchy
26'
-
Miguel Trauco
39'
-
Charels Abi
77'
-
Timothee Kolodziejczak
90'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
9
-
Zaydou Youssouf
37'
-
Robert Beric
90'
-
Fernando Marcal
19'
-
Jean Lucas
96'