We said: Lille 2-1 Lyon
Despite an underwhelming recent record in this fixture, Lille have not lost back-to-back home games against Lyon since the mid-2000s, and will be the favourites given their form of late.
Lyon have stuttered again after appearing to turn a corner, and this will be a very difficult fixture in which to return to winning ways.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
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