Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Lyon |
| 41.6% ( | 23.79% ( | 34.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.79% ( | 40.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.43% ( | 62.57% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( | 19.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.43% ( | 51.57% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% | 23.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.12% ( | 56.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 1-0 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 6% ( 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.46% 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 1-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.61% |