Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.92%. A win for Angers had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Angers win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Lyon |
| 23.03% ( | 22.05% ( | 54.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.27% ( | 39.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.91% ( | 62.09% ( |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( | 30.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.08% ( | 66.92% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( | 14.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.63% ( | 42.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 2-0 @ 3.09% ( 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 3-0 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 23.03% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0-3 @ 5.35% ( 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0-4 @ 2.59% ( 2-4 @ 1.81% ( 1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0-5 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.92% |