Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 29.61% ( | 24.48% ( | 45.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( | 45.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( | 67.7% ( |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( | 28.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( | 64.43% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( | 19.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.02% ( | 51.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 2-0 @ 4.45% ( 3-1 @ 3% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.61% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 1-3 @ 5% ( 0-3 @ 4% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 2-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.91% |