Champions League
Dec 11, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Gabriel Martinelli 32' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 34' goal
  • Mikel Merino 60' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 78' goal
  • Kai Havertz 88' goal
  • yellowcard Vanderson 63'

Arsenal vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 5 Arsenal

Monaco

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 27, 2024 8.00pm
Monaco 2 - 3 Benfica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 62.07% (+0.04)
Draw 21.43% (+0.01)
Monaco 16.5% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.23% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.58% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 46.42% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 31.29% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 68.7% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 15.57% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.42% (+0.06)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 85.6% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 14.39% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 57.7% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 42.3% (+0.03)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 58.68% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 41.32% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 22.16% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 77.84% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Arsenal 62.06%
Draw 21.43%
Monaco 16.5%
Arsenal
1-0 @ 11.52% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.17% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.22% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 62.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.43%
Monaco
0-1 @ 5.26% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.5% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 16.5%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Aug 2, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Mar 17, 2015 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 52' yellowcard
  • goal Olivier Giroud 36'
  • yellowcard Alexis Sanchez 42'
  • goal Aaron Ramsey 79'
Champions League
Feb 25, 2015 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Francis Coquelin 42' yellowcard
  • Hector Bellerin 74' yellowcard
  • Mesut Ozil 87' yellowcard
  • Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 91' goal
  • goal Geoffrey Kondogbia 38'
  • yellowcard Elderson 45'
  • goal Dimitar Berbatov 53'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 92'
  • goal Yannick Ferreira Carrasco 94'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 3, 2014 4.20pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jack Wilshere 34' yellowcard
  • Ignasi Miquel 65' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Flamini 90' yellowcard
  • goal Radamel Falcao 37'
  • yellowcard Danijel Subasic 81'

Build-up

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