Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.