Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2024 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Jurrien Maduro 54' goal
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 66' yellowcard
  • William Saliba 73' goal
  • yellowcard Tyrell Malacia 44'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 45'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 51'

Arsenal vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2024 5.30pm
West Ham 2 - 5 Arsenal
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2024 1.30pm
Man Utd 4 - 0 Everton
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Amad Diallo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 15.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result

Arsenal 66.67% (+0.01)
Draw 18.11% (-0.01)
Manchester United 15.22% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.98% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.47% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 33.53% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 44.67% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 55.33% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 26.01% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 73.99% (+0.01)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 90.67%
Under 0.5 9.33% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 68.54%
Under 1.5 31.46% (+0.01)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 65.05% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.95% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.31% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.69% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Arsenal 66.67%
Draw 18.11%
Manchester United 15.22%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 9.17% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.73% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.62%
3-0 @ 7.25% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.52%
4-0 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 4.01%
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.15%
5-0 @ 2.04%
5-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 66.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 5.07%
0-0 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.11%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 4.27%
0-1 @ 3.43%
0-2 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 15.22%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 28, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Gabriel Jesus 26' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 81' goal
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 10'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
  • goal Leandro Trossard 20'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 71'
  • yellowcard David Raya 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Martin Odegaard 28' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 40' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 89' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 90'+6' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 90'+11' goal
  • goal Marcus Rashford 27'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 38'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 65'
  • yellowcard Andre Onana 68'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 22, 2023 10.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
ET MetLife Stadium
  • Gabriel Jesus 85' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 30'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 37'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 43'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 73'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 22, 2023 4.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Eddie Nketiah 24' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 53' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 90' goal
  • goal Marcus Rashford 17'
  • goal Lisandro Martinez 59'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Antony 35' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 66' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 75' goal
  • goal Bukayo Saka 60'

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