Europa League
Nov 7, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Amad Diallo 50' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 55' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 77' goal
  • Casemiro 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tarik Tissoudali 56'

Manchester United vs PAOK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 24, 2024 8.00pm
Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Man Utd

PAOK

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 24, 2024 5.45pm
PAOK 2 - 2 Plzen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.

Result

Manchester United 43.61% ▲ (+0.81)
Draw 23.44% ▼ (-0.16)
PAOK 32.94% ▼ (-0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.58% ▲ (+0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.98% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 2.5 39.01% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 3.5 38.66% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 3.5 61.33% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 4.5 21.08% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 4.5 78.92% ▼ (-0.42)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 81.73% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 0.5 18.27% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 1.5 50.67% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 1.5 49.32% ▼ (-0.92)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5 76.58% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 23.42% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 42.58% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 57.42% ▲ (+0.19)

Score analysis

Manchester United 43.61%
Draw 23.43%
PAOK 32.94%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.07)
1-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 43.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.43%
PAOK
1-2 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.11)
0-1 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.94%

Build-up

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